— Geoeconomic Metals as a New Strategic Asset Class —
Wrote By : Global Economist 2025/11
1. Introduction: Rare Earths as the “New Oil”
Rare earth elements (REEs) are no longer mere raw materials — they have become the geoeconomic energy of the 21st century.
They underpin decarbonization, digital transformation, and advanced defense technologies. Their rarity, complex processing, and geographic concentration make them a strategic asset class rather than a simple commodity.
From a financial perspective, rare earths represent an exceptional dual imbalance: sharply rising demand and structurally constrained supply. This creates persistent price asymmetry and geopolitical risk premiums — a powerful attraction for investors and lenders seeking non-correlated, strategic exposure.
2. The Intrinsic Appeal of Rare Earths
(1) Scientific Uniqueness and Functional Value
Each of the 17 rare earth elements has distinct electronic and magnetic properties, enabling applications that are nearly irreplaceable.
| Element | Core Application | Strategic Function |
|---|---|---|
| Neodymium (Nd) | EV and wind-turbine magnets | High magnetic strength; key for electrification |
| Dysprosium (Dy) | High-temperature magnets, defense | Heat resistance; critical in military systems |
| Terbium (Tb) | Fluorescent materials, magnets | Dual role in displays and advanced magnets |
| Europium (Eu) | Red phosphors, LEDs | Only viable red-emission material |
| Scandium (Sc) | Light alloys, fuel cells | Aerospace and hydrogen energy applications |
| Yttrium (Y) | Lasers, superconductors | Integral to YAG lasers and high-temperature ceramics |
These elements are functional enablers, not interchangeable inputs. Their economic value lies in performance differentiation, not abundance.
(2) Geopolitical Scarcity
China controls roughly 70% of global mining output and nearly 90% of refining capacity.
This concentration — centered in Inner Mongolia, Jiangxi, and Guangdong — transforms rare earths into a political commodity, where export policies or environmental crackdowns can instantly ripple through global supply chains and asset markets.
3. Financial Perspective: Why Rare Earths Are Attractive
(1) Structural Price Momentum and Low Correlation
- Rare earth price indices (SMM/Asian Metal) have risen ~80% over the past three years.
- Their price drivers are decoupled from oil or traditional metals, providing diversification benefits.
- As essential inputs to green technologies, rare earths inherently carry a “Green Premium.”
(2) Evolving Finance Models
- Sovereign and development banks (JBIC, JOGMEC, IFC) are expanding from mine financing to supply-chain finance, integrating refining, recycling, and logistics into structured deals.
- Project finance and blended finance models now dominate, offering stable, infrastructure-like returns.
- ESG frameworks recognize critical minerals as eligible sustainable assets, opening access to green bonds and sustainability-linked loans.
(3) “Strategic Commodity” Behavior
- Unlike conventional assets, rare earths react asymmetrically to geopolitical shocks.
- Strategic stockpiling by governments provides a structural demand floor.
- This underpins their status as a geopolitical hedge and real-asset store of value.
4. Risk Awareness Across Three Levels
| Level | Primary Risks | Financial Implications |
|---|---|---|
| Macro (Geopolitical) | Export restrictions, political instability | Multilateral sourcing, JBIC/NEXI risk guarantees |
| Meso (Supply Chain) | ESG compliance, logistics disruption | Supply-chain insurance, ESG screening |
| Micro (Project) | Refining cost, technological uncertainty | Structured SPV financing, risk-sharing mechanisms |
Rare earth investments thus combine characteristics of political-risk finance and sustainable development lending, creating a new hybrid domain for financial institutions.
5. Outlook: The Financialization of Critical Minerals
(1) The Rise of Secondary Resources
Japanese corporations such as Sumitomo Metal Mining, Hitachi Metals, and TDK are scaling rare-earth recycling and urban mining.
Traceable, ESG-certified secondary materials could eventually be tokenized or securitized as a “Green Metal Asset.”
(2) Emerging Derivative Markets
The London Metal Exchange (LME) is exploring futures contracts for select rare earths.
Their volatility + ESG premium dynamic could lead to a new Green Metal Index — integrating commodity finance with sustainability investing.
(3) Japan’s Strategic Position
Leveraging manufacturing depth and financial sophistication, Japan can evolve into a Resource-Finance Hub — bridging resource producers and industrial consumers through structured, de-risked finance networks supported by JBIC, NEXI, and trading houses.
6. Conclusion: From Commodity to Strategic Asset
The enduring appeal of rare earths lies in three dimensions:
- Scientific rarity — unique physical properties;
- Functional indispensability — no effective substitutes;
- Political scarcity — concentrated, strategic supply.
For the financial sector, rare earths transcend the commodity category.
They represent a fusion of security finance and ESG investment, offering both resilience and strategic relevance.
In the coming decade, capital allocation toward critical minerals will define not only returns — but also national competitiveness and global influence.
📚 Sources
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries: Rare Earths (2025)
- S&P Global Commodity Insights, Global Rare Earth Market Review 2025
- METI & JOGMEC Strategic Minerals Report 2025
- Reuters / Bloomberg / Nikkei Asia

