Japan

Global Economy

What the UK’s Project-Based Sanctions Licensing Reveals About the Future of Economic Statecraft

What do UK sanctions licences really mean for Japan? Learn how compliance, energy security, and corporate strategy intersect.
Japan

Japan’s Africa Strategy at a Crossroads

Japan’s Africa strategy emphasizes sustainability, governance, and quality investment—but risks losing influence to China’s Belt and Road Initiative. This report analyzes the structural, geopolitical, and financial challenges Japan faces in Africa’s evolving diplomatic landscape.
Global Economy

Japan’s Optimal Diplomatic Strategy

An in-depth economic analysis of Japan’s diplomatic strategy, focusing on asymmetric advantage, FOIP, economic security, alliances, and de-risking in an era of geopolitical rivalry.
Global Economy

Japan Economic Outlook 2026

An in-depth analysis of Japan’s 2026 economic outlook, focusing on wage growth, easing inflation, and the Bank of Japan’s policy normalization.
Global Economy

Why Japan Has Not Gone Broke

Why hasn’t Japan gone broke despite debt over 200% of GDP?This report explains Japan’s sovereign debt through Ray Dalio’s Big Debt Cycle, financial repression, and central bank intervention.
Japan

Japan’s Quiet Equilibrium

Why hasn’t Japan gone broke? Using Ray Dalio’s debt cycle framework, this report explains Japan’s high-debt equilibrium, monetary repression, and long-term risks.
Invest

The Choice Not to Break

Ray Dalio devotes a standalone chapter to Japan in How Countries Go Broke. This report explains why Japan avoided collapse—and the long-term costs of low growth, silent adjustment, and intergenerational burdens.
Japan

Long-Tail Risks of Monetary Tightening in Japan

This academic report analyzes the long-tail risks of Japan’s monetary tightening, focusing on structural uncertainty, expectations, fiscal sustainability, and global spillovers.
Japan

Macro-Financial Stress Scenarios Following

Japan’s interest rate normalization may trigger credit tightening, yen volatility, and global spillovers. A macro-financial risk analysis for policymakers and investors.
Japan

Global Macro Economist Report

The U.S. extension of sanctions exemptions for Sakhalin LNG is not a technical adjustment, but a structural shift in sanctions economics. This report analyzes its implications for Japan, inflation, energy markets, and alliance stability.
Japan

The Nature of the Shock to the Japanese Economy from Rising Interest Rates

Japan’s interest rate hike marks a structural shift, not a financial crisis.This economist’s report explains the real shock, sector impacts, and long-term implications for growth, yen dynamics, and fiscal discipline.
Global Economy

World Economic Turning Point in 2026

In 2026, Japan faces a structural economic turning point as monetary normalization, China risk, and geopolitical fragmentation converge. This report analyzes the silent selection reshaping Japan’s growth model beyond zero interest rates.
Global Economy

Why Japan Is a “Silent Systemic Risk”

An economist’s analysis of Japan through Ray Dalio’s Big Cycle framework, explaining why yen stability, JGB functionality, and dollar liquidity could converge into a systemic risk.