Japan Japan’s Quiet Equilibrium
Why hasn’t Japan gone broke? Using Ray Dalio’s debt cycle framework, this report explains Japan’s high-debt equilibrium, monetary repression, and long-term risks.
Japan
Japan 
Invest The Choice Not to Break
Ray Dalio devotes a standalone chapter to Japan in How Countries Go Broke. This report explains why Japan avoided collapse—and the long-term costs of low growth, silent adjustment, and intergenerational burdens.
Japan Long-Tail Risks of Monetary Tightening in Japan
This academic report analyzes the long-tail risks of Japan’s monetary tightening, focusing on structural uncertainty, expectations, fiscal sustainability, and global spillovers.
Japan Macro-Financial Stress Scenarios Following
Japan’s interest rate normalization may trigger credit tightening, yen volatility, and global spillovers. A macro-financial risk analysis for policymakers and investors.
Japan Global Macro Economist Report
The U.S. extension of sanctions exemptions for Sakhalin LNG is not a technical adjustment, but a structural shift in sanctions economics. This report analyzes its implications for Japan, inflation, energy markets, and alliance stability.
Japan The Nature of the Shock to the Japanese Economy from Rising Interest Rates
Japan’s interest rate hike marks a structural shift, not a financial crisis.This economist’s report explains the real shock, sector impacts, and long-term implications for growth, yen dynamics, and fiscal discipline.
Global Economy World Economic Turning Point in 2026
In 2026, Japan faces a structural economic turning point as monetary normalization, China risk, and geopolitical fragmentation converge. This report analyzes the silent selection reshaping Japan’s growth model beyond zero interest rates.
Global Economy Why Japan Is a “Silent Systemic Risk”
An economist’s analysis of Japan through Ray Dalio’s Big Cycle framework, explaining why yen stability, JGB functionality, and dollar liquidity could converge into a systemic risk.
China Japan–China Political Tensions Intensify
Japan and China entered a new phase of political tension following a dangerous radar lock incident and Beijing’s suspension of cultural exchanges. Our analysis explores military escalation risks, Taiwan-driven strategic friction, and consequences for global markets and supply chains.
Global Economy The Global Standing of the Japanese Yen and the Structural Forces Driving Further Depreciation
Central banks now hold only 5–6 percent of global reserves in yen, reflecting Japan’s declining influence in the international monetary system. This report analyzes the structural forces driving long-term yen depreciation.
Japan Japan’s Strategic Vulnerability in LNG Procurement
Sakhalin LNG is becoming Japan’s most fragile energy link. Learn how Russia’s strategy, China’s influence, and market volatility could reshape Japan’s energy security and industrial competitiveness.
Japan 🇺🇸 The U.S. Government Shutdown and the Rising Tide of Public Anxiety
The 2025 U.S. government shutdown has disrupted aviation, delayed public paychecks, and deepened distrust in Washington. This report analyzes how administrative paralysis, airport chaos, and public anxiety could evolve into structural instability — and what it means for investors, policymakers, and America’s global credibility.
Japan Sakhalin-2 and Japan’s Energy Security
Japan continues to import LNG from Russia’s Sakhalin-2 under sanctions, balancing energy security, economic cost, and diplomatic pressure. Learn how Tokyo navigates this geopolitical dilemma.