GOLD Why Governments Hold Large Amounts of Gold
Why do governments and central banks hold so much gold?This report explains Ray Dalio’s view of gold as ultimate insurance against currency debasement and geopolitical risk.
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GOLD How Will the Dollar’s Dominance Change?
Will the U.S. dollar lose its dominance?This report explains how dollar power is eroding—not collapsing—through Ray Dalio’s Big Cycle, debt, and geopolitics.
Report Is the United States in Decline?
A Macro Perspective on the U.S. Economy Through Ray Dalio’s “Big Cycle” FrameworkI. IntroductionWhy Does the Strongest E...
Japan Japan’s Quiet Equilibrium
Why hasn’t Japan gone broke? Using Ray Dalio’s debt cycle framework, this report explains Japan’s high-debt equilibrium, monetary repression, and long-term risks.
Invest The Choice Not to Break
Ray Dalio devotes a standalone chapter to Japan in How Countries Go Broke. This report explains why Japan avoided collapse—and the long-term costs of low growth, silent adjustment, and intergenerational burdens.
Japan Long-Tail Risks of Monetary Tightening in Japan
This academic report analyzes the long-tail risks of Japan’s monetary tightening, focusing on structural uncertainty, expectations, fiscal sustainability, and global spillovers.
Japan Macro-Financial Stress Scenarios Following
Japan’s interest rate normalization may trigger credit tightening, yen volatility, and global spillovers. A macro-financial risk analysis for policymakers and investors.
Japan The Nature of the Shock to the Japanese Economy from Rising Interest Rates
Japan’s interest rate hike marks a structural shift, not a financial crisis.This economist’s report explains the real shock, sector impacts, and long-term implications for growth, yen dynamics, and fiscal discipline.
GOLD Global Reserve Currency Outlook
This analysis explores how the U.S. dollar is transforming amid rising fiscal burdens, the weaponization of finance, U.S.–China strategic rivalry, and amplified global liquidity cycles. A must-read for economists and institutional investors.
China Japan–China Political Tensions Intensify
Japan and China entered a new phase of political tension following a dangerous radar lock incident and Beijing’s suspension of cultural exchanges. Our analysis explores military escalation risks, Taiwan-driven strategic friction, and consequences for global markets and supply chains.
Global Economy Geopolitical Macro Strategy Report
How the EU–G7 maritime sanctions on Russian oil could spark a new inflation cycle, drive oil above $130, disrupt shipping insurance, and shift global monetary policy. A must-read geopolitical macro strategy report.
Global Economy 🌎Geopolitical Reconfiguration in Iraq’s Oil Sector
This report explains why the U.S. is targeting Lukoil’s Iraqi assets, how sanctions are transforming Middle Eastern energy geopolitics, and what it means for Asia.
Global Economy The Global Standing of the Japanese Yen and the Structural Forces Driving Further Depreciation
Central banks now hold only 5–6 percent of global reserves in yen, reflecting Japan’s declining influence in the international monetary system. This report analyzes the structural forces driving long-term yen depreciation.